A S Cruz's Beauty Flash and Penglai Xianzi typically Lead in a race, but Beauty Flash is suffering a loss of form recently and I can't see it setting a very fast early pace. Without many On-Pace runners behind it, Penglai Xianzi is likely to set a slowish pace early on. Packing OK is expected to run well after a short break. With a good record in the same distance, a great draw, plus a suitable running style, Packing OK is expected to do more than okay.

Watch how Simon visualises his thoughts by using the Race Simulator - why not do the same by downloading the Race Simulator app now!

http://www.racesimulator.com.hk/download_e/